One year of selling ebooks: analysis of sales figures, etc.

It’s been slightly over a year since I started selling ebooks via the Amazon Kindle store and Smashwords. I thought I should share some information about the results with other writers.

I haven’t earned a lot of money doing this. I’ve sold 122 copies of four titles, with income so far of less than $100 (though there are some royalties that have accrued and not been paid yet). However, sales are increasing over time — more than a third of the last year’s sales (44 out of 122) were in the last month.

The sales by title break down thus:

Wine Can't be Pressed into Grapes 27 copies
When Wasps Make Honey 27
A Notional Treason 34
The Weight of Silence and Other Stories 32

I’m not sure what to make of that. Even though Wine Can’t be Pressed Into Grapes is the only one of those that’s also available for free (on BigCloset), it’s sold just as well as its sequel When Wasps Make Honey. A Notional Treason is shorter and stand-alone, and because it’s shorter I also priced it lower ($1.99 vs. $2.99 for all the others), which may account for its higher sales.

Anecdotally, short fiction collections sell much worse than novels by the same authors. But The Weight of Silence and Other Stories has sold more copies than my longer novels, and nearly as many as the shorter, lower-priced novel. And it’s the most recently published as well, which makes its sales more impressive — it sold far more copies in its first three weeks than A Notional Treason did.

I’ve been keeping a log showing when I posted new stories or chapters of stories to BigCloset, Fictionmania, Shifti, and the mailing lists, as well as of how many books I sell each week. Almost every time I post a new chapter or a whole new story, I sell one or more books; when I went five months without posting any new stories, I only sold nine books in that period. (Five of those nine sales were in a week when I had a new blog post on BigCloset, though most of my review or essay blog posts in that five-month period weren’t followed by new sales.) After offering A Notional Treason for sale in January this year, I serialized “The Manumission Game” on BigCloset and Twisted Throwback on the morpheuscabinet mailing list. I sold books pretty much every week while the serials were running, and none at all in the month after the Twisted Throwback serial ended. Sales picked up again after I offered The Weight of Silence and Other Stories for sale, and especially after I started the serial of “The Family that Plays Together.”

I can’t offer any hard data on which sites it’s most effective to post free stories to, in terms of generating ebook sales. I seem to sell more books while serializing stories on BigCloset than when posting stories to FM, but that may be because all the stories I’ve posted to FM lately had already been posted to BigCloset earlier. Posts of new stories to Shifti (which had already been posted to BC) haven’t resulted in any obvious short-term sales.

Some of this analysis may be flawed by the post hoc fallacy; when Amazon or Smashwords tells me I’ve sold X books in the last week, and I posted the first chapter of a new story to BigCloset a week ago, I naturally tend to assume that most or all of those X sales were to people following links from the new story to Amazon or Smashwords. Of course some of them might have been following a link from an older story they’re reading for the first time, or following up a link they bookmarked months ago when they read an earlier story, or they might have never heard of me before and just found my books on Amazon or Smashwords by a keyword search.

I’ve sold 20 books via Smashwords and 102 via the Kindle store. That makes me disinclined to use Amazon’s Kindle Select program, which requires you to give Amazon exclusive distribution rights to your book, in return for higher royalty rates in some territories. The territories where I’ve sold the most books — the U.S., UK, and Germany — are all territories where Amazon pays the same royalty whether your book is in the Kindle Select program or not. And Smashwords pays higher royalties — slightly higher for books at the $2.99 price point, and more than double for books at the $1.99 price point.

Another issue is that I don’t want to encourage Amazon’s dubious business practices, such as devising their own proprietary ebook format to lock customers in when there are perfectly good standard formats like ePub. I’m not boycotting Amazon, but I refuse to give them exclusive distribution rights to my books either.

Some other authors have said that if you use Microsoft Word it’s significantly easier to offer a book for sale via the Kindle Store than via Smashwords. I use OpenOffice/LibreOffice, with the writer2epub plugin, and I’ve found it equally easy either way. Both retailers accept .doc files or .epub files as uploads; Smashwords has more stringent formatting requirements than Amazon if you upload a .doc file, but that hasn’t been an issue for me since I export my .odt files to .epub via writer2epub rather than exporting to .doc. (I actually use Emacs for first-draft writing and most of the revision process, and LibreOffice only for final-draft formatting.)

The hard part is setting up new author accounts on Amazon and Smashwords, and learning how to format ebooks. Once that learning and setup overhead was out of the way with the first two books I offered, a year ago, I found it relatively quick and easy to offer A Notional Treason and The Weight of Silence and Other Stories for sale — only slightly more cumbersome than the submission process for a site like BigCloset or FM.

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